Wilma

[Leon Roskilly]

Well will soon be!

 

And very likely become a major hurricane.

 

Once Wilma is named, that's the last name in the list for this season (then it's onto naming plan B Alpha, Beta, Delta)

 

An amazing year!

 

 

Where will she go then?

 

Tight Lines - leon

 

[ 16. October 2005, 10:04 AM: Message edited by: Leon Roskilly ]

[Tony U]

Looks like more problems for Louisiana on its current track.

[Leon Roskilly]

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATC...ml/190506.shtml

 

THIS SPECIAL ADVISORY IS TO UPDATE THE INITIAL AND THE FORECAST INTENSITY OF WILMA.

 

AN AIR FORCE PLANE JUST MEASURED 162 KNOTS AT 850 MB AND A MINIMUM PRESSURE OF 901 MB IN A PINHOLE EYE.

 

WILMA IS NOW A VERY STRONG CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE AND COULD BECOME A CATEGORY FIVE TODAY.

 

 

Wow!

 

That's taken everyone by surprise.

 

It was thought that Wilma (a big storm), would make category 2 or maybe 3 by landfall in Florida, but she's suddenly burst into action, making her probably the strongest storm of the season.

 

Newt, I hope that your son is watching this one very carefully.

 

Tight Lines - leon

[Leon Roskilly]

http://www.wunderground.com/blog/SteveGreg...egory/show.html

 

"892mb and 168Kts, a 2NM eye ....that is beyond comprehension and no doubt has never been observed before."

 

 

"This has some of the characteristics of a tornado.

 

Looking for microwave signature, and loops in the shortwave spectrum, it appears the eye wall will simply implode -- and the next strong wall on imagery appearts to be 20NM across -- but there really is no confirmation of that from the crew - who are no doubt hanging on for dear life."

 

TL - leon

 

[ 19. October 2005, 09:29 AM: Message edited by: Leon Roskilly ]

[Leon Roskilly]

884? Could be a record

 

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATC...ml/190841.shtml

 

"AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE MEASURED 168 KNOTS AT 700 MB AND ESTIMATED A MINIMUM PRESSURE OF 884 MB EXTRAPOLATED FROM 700MB.

 

UNOFFICIALLY...THE METEOROLOGIST ON BOARD THE PLANE RELIED AN EXTRAPOLATED 881 MB PRESSURE AND MEASURED 884 MB WITH A DROPSONDE.

 

THIS IS ALL IN ASSOCIATION WITH A VERY SMALL EYE THAT HAS BEEN OSCILLATING BETWEEN 2 AND 4 N MI DURING EYE PENETRATIONS.

 

THIS IS PROBABLY THE LOWEST MINIMUM PRESSURE EVER OBSERVED IN THE ATLANTIC BASIN AND IS FOLLOWED BY THE 888 MB MINIMUM PRESSURE ASSOCIATED WITH HURRICANE GILBERT IN 1988.

 

HOWEVER...ONE MUST BE VERY CAREFUL BEFORE IT IS DECLARED A RECORD MINIMUM PRESSURE UNTIL A FULL AND DETAILED CALIBRATION OF THE INSTRUMENTS AND CALCULATIONS IS PERFORMED. SO PLEASE DO NOT JUMP INTO CONCLUSIONS YET...BE PATIENT."

 

 

TL - leon

[Chris Plumb]

Sorry Leon - hadn't realised you'd 'beat' me with a Wilma thread (Newt please delete my one). Latest from Jeff Masters....

 

 

There has never been a hurricane like Wilma before. With an unbelievable round of intensification that saw the pressure drop 85 mb in just 12 hours, Wilma smashed the all-time record for lowest pressure in an Atlantic hurricane this morning. The 4 am hurricane hunter report put the pressure at 884 mb from a dropsonde, and the meteorologist reported an even lower 881 mb pressure extrapolated from 10,000 feet flight altitude. This easily bests the previous record of 888 mb set in Hurricane Gilbert of 1988. The eye of Wilma during this round of intense deepening oscillated between 2 and 4 nautical miles, and the area of hurricane force winds only covered an area up to 15 miles from the center. This is an incredibly compact, amazingly intense hurricane, the likes of which has never been seen. The Hurricane Season of 2005 keeps topping itself with new firsts, and now boasts three of the five most intense hurricanes of all time--Katrina, Rita, and Wilma

 

 

C.

[tuggs]

A U.S. Air Force reconnaissance plane measured maximum sustained winds of 175 mph (280 kph), with higher gusts, the U.S. National Hurricane Centre said.

 

The plane also recorded a minimum pressure of 882 millibars, the lowest value ever observed in the Atlantic basin. That meant Wilma was stronger than any storm on record, including Katrina, which devastated New Orleans in late August, and Rita, which hit the Texas-Louisiana coast in September.

 

Taken from Here

[Newt]

For any of you who follow Hurricanes, this will be an amazing shot.

 

For any who do not, the pinpoint size of the eye is so unusual that if you had shown this picture to a Met expert yesterday, they would have sworn you had photoshopped it since a hurricane with this structure (eye size compared to storm size) is completely impossible. It simply could not happen. Well oops.

 

[Leon Roskilly]

I've ceased to be amazed Newt!

 

Everything about Vince and Wilma is wrong!

 

Everything about the season of 2005, is so unusual that it can't be.

 

Not all of this in a single year.

 

So many records broken and so much that is simply weird.

 

Tight Lines - leon

 

[ 19. October 2005, 06:22 PM: Message edited by: Leon Roskilly ]

[Leon Roskilly]

Most of my wife's relatives live up in New England.

 

One scenario has Wilma passing across the Everglades relatively unweakened, then up the east coast before making another landfall in New England.

 

Still big and powerful.

 

And the folks up that way aren't used to a real hurricane coming ashore at strength.

 

Fingers crossed that it ain't gonna happen.

 

TL - leon