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The odds on there being a match are above 50% when you get 23 people for comparison - the math works out like so...

 

With one person there is a 0 percent chance that you'll have two people with the same birthday. With two people the probability that they won't share a birthday is 364/365. The probability that they will share a birthday is therefore 1 - (364/365). With three people the probability that they won't share a birthday is the same as for two people, times 363/365. So the probability that three people will share a birthday is 1 - (364/365) * (363/365). Notice that with each additional person added, the probability that they shares a birthday with one of the previous persons goes up, because there are fewer "free" days remaining. We keep adding people until the %age is greater than 50%. When we have 23 people the %age is 50.729%. QED.

 

 

:D

 

 

C.

 

[ 07. April 2005, 03:53 PM: Message edited by: Chris Plumb ]

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12th May same as slashey

save-our-sharks member

 

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"Time is never wasted

When your wasted all the time

 

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August 20th 1966, it bewildered me at 19 how i had lasted so long, now at coming up 39 i really cant imagine how my body has coped with all the abuse i give it. good on ya body :)

Smelly nets.

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