A storm is a'coming

[Steve Burke]

I see elsewhere that many are getting caught out about the forecast wind speed. This is because most sites give just the average wind speed. What's dangerous are the gusts. These may be 1 1/2 to 2x the average wind speed depending on how exposed you are.

 

Additionally some sites give the wind speed at just midday and midnight, others just at midday. The maximum may be between these hours and significantly higher.

 

For instance the BBC web site gives the wind speed in its summary as 24mph for Canterbury, but on its hourly tabular page forecasts the strongest speed to be 40mph at 7am on Monday.

 

Now the BBC site is based on the Met Office forecast. Hop over to the Met Office site (that isn't otherwise as comprehensive) and you can see the gust forecast. This shows 65mph - a hell of a difference!

 

Even then this doesn't take into account the full potential for falling trees. This is partly because the ground is saturated due to recent rain, meaning that tree roots won't be held so firmly. Even worse is that most of the trees are in full leaf. This will mean that, rather than the wind whistling through the branches, the trees will take almost the full force of the wind.

 

So if the forecast is accurate expect a lot of fallen trees, not only on the waterside but also on the roads.

 

I certainly wouldn't be going fishing in the storm!

Edited October 27, 2013 by Steve Burke

[Ken L]

Wow !

The center of the low pressure is currently at 961 millibars and it's still deepening....

[big_cod]

don't let the trust and bass know about mild winters big cod, that'll put a spoke in their campaign to recommend legislation against all including anglers and charter skippers that the bass stocks are in peril, (too many cold winters of late) and only those two orgs can save them with punitive legislation while supporting the French commercial industry to carry on as is. that just won't do.

Barry the last few cold winter have seen a dramatic fall in bass numbers here at whitby its all down to water temperature and this winter its come a live with cod 1-3lb its lifting with them again all down to the last couple of cold winters the cod biomass has been very good allways is with very cold winters the hatch survival rate has been very high hense cod galore here at whitby not many above 7 or 8 lb uptiding but stacks of fish fantastic sport here at the moment.

 

http://www.whitbyseaanglers.co.uk/forum/index.php?topic=32298.0

 

paul.

Edited October 27, 2013 by big_cod

[ayjay]

I see elsewhere that many are getting caught out about the forecast wind speed. This is because most sites give just the average wind speed. What's dangerous are the gusts. These may be 1 1/2 to 2x the average wind speed depending on how exposed you are.

There are probably websites available (certainly if you're near the coast) which give a more detailed view of the local weather, either imminent or very recent, Bramblemet is very useful for the Solent area. Well worth searching the net for sites in your area.

 

Here's another one for Hurst Point, at the Western end of the Solent, it's just wind data.

 

http://www.weather-file.com/hurst/graph.htm

[n4lly]

We lost quite a bit of beach last night, think it'll be all gone by tomorrow....

 

 

 

[Ken L]

And so it starts..

Gusting to over 60mph already in south Wales and aling the channel coast.

[n4lly]

Wind with tide, 10 mins ago......

 

 

 

When the tide turn's, OMG !

[rob.imk2]

Wish this storm would pass my head is banging like a drum and my ears are buzzing

[barry luxton]

Wind with tide, 10 mins ago......

 

 

 

When the tide turn's, OMG !

hope you have tied up your back garden gate Sean, looks a bit bassy

Edited October 27, 2013 by barry luxton

[Ken L]

A low of 960 will raise sea levels by about half a meter. Then there's the waves.